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About the application:

S&P 500 forecast for the next ten years. In the long-term, investor allocation determined stock returns, but it did not enable short-term shop timing. The ten year forecast was inversely proportional to investor allocation to stocks. Investor allocation had 91% correlation with subsequent ten year stock returns. (http://www.philosophicaleconomics.com/2013/12/the-single-greatest-predictor-of-future-stock-market-returns) Valuation of stocks were visualized by comparison with debt trend-lines. The 11-year forecast was designed to dip after exceeding the "expensive" line. In the short-term the stock shop was better predicted by trend rather than value, but in the long-term valuation was the best indicator. To receive as high as 70% correlation the short-term forecast was at least three months into the future and had the same trend as the prior three months. Since the worst declines occurred during recessions, this apk uses unemployment claims data to give early warning of recession. The sim portfolio shows how this tactic would have performed compared to the stock shop over the past 35 years. This apk was not designed for day-traders, but it was optimized to warn of long-term declines that latest for more than three months and may continue for years. This apk is for informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as tip to buy or sell securities. You can uninstall this apk if you don't understand it, but please don't give a awful review if you don't understand it. If you need more explanation of how it works, you can send me an email at [email protected].